viernes, 10 de junio de 2016

MercatorNet: Prepare for another Clinton Presidency

MercatorNet: Prepare for another Clinton Presidency

Prepare for another Clinton Presidency

Democrat consolidation will enable full, negative media attention on Trump and dissolve his poll lead.
Leslie Loftus | Jun 10 2016 | comment 

Hillary Clinton finally clinched the required delegates to secure the Democratic nomination, a feat that Donald Trump managed for the Republicans over a month ago. (If that sounds like a boast, it isn’t. It is a statement of the revulsion that Clinton inspires.)

My wild card scenario, or fervent wish, from last week that the delegates take their responsibility seriously and vote their own minds still holds. Only respect for the rules stands between us and the delegates providing better options than the charlatan or the criminal that the two established partied foisted upon us.

But assuming that the compulsion to follow the rules remains now that everyone is presumed and, therefore, predictions can return to normal expectation patterns, the race looks different today.

Clinton has secured the Democratic nomination, and Bernie Sanders’s supporters and any stray #NeverHillary voters on the left will enter their final stages of mourning. They will quickly arrive at acceptance. As that happens, the small poll leads Trump enjoys at the moment will likely dissolve.

Consolidation will do part of the job, and the full, negative, media attention on Trump will do the rest. Plus, Clinton has finally hit upon an argument against Trump that she can make stick, one for which his offence-is-the-best-defence style won’t work.

Dispatching the GOP will prove much easier. It will become the party of sexist, egoistical, lying, hypocritical, bigots that the popular people always told us it was.

The pressure against an indictment of Clinton for her security breaches will grow, as will the pressure for Obama to issue a pardon for her. If he does pardon her, he will tell the American public that we all must move on for the good of the country.

Thus, we shall prepare for another Clinton presidency.

What cracks me up — in both the humor and pressure senses of the expression—is how leading Republicans are still behind the knowledge curve. Peggy Noonan summed the problem up, as she tends to do, with the question, “The voters have rebuked professional Republicans and conservatives. What’s next for the GOP?”

What’s next? There is no next. The Republican party as we know it is dead. All of the questions about what party leaders should do now — they answered those questions months ago. The fact that few Republican pundits voiced the questions didn’t matter.  Just as truth does not require belief, the silent questions got answered.

We now know who puts personal power and party before country. It is a longer list than we thought — and that is saying something — but now we know.

All the decisions and deals the GOP powers that be offer — from having Trump commit to a list of judges from The Heritage Foundation if he wanted party support to offering to be the Vice President to conjure up an air of reason and decorum and make the ticket palatable to the American electorate — those deals assume that the party players still have credibility. They don’t.

The introspection Noonan calls for — that was an insight for last summer. Now it is evidence for that the DC/NYC bubble is as opaque as it is soundproof.

Attempts at introspection don’t fare much better. To take one example, if Reagan Democrats of the 1980s never fully evolved to Republican principles it is because Republicans didn’t lead them to Republican principles.

Republicans of the George H W Bush era and beyond governed as Democrats-lite, always seeking the winning blend of social and economic issues for DC to dictate. This was foolish for two reasons: one, Democrats will always be better at that game because the hand-out policies they favour fail in the long term. It takes time for the government to run out of other people’s money. Time makes people forget.

Two, Republicans talked about one set of principles but acted on another. We got sick of the shysters’ shell game.

Geek that I am, I keep hearing Merlin’s proclamation to Uther Pendragon fromExcalibur, “You betrayed the Duke, you stole his wife, you took his castle, now no-one trusts you.” Our Republican leaders of the last few decades did not lead. And now, no one trusts them.

The GOP is now the party of Trump, which is nothing like the party of Jefferson or Lincoln — neither by statesmanship nor by principles.

What the convention delegates choose to do might save the name. A new party will either emerge from within by delegates voting their conscience or a new one will form in the exodus.

But by all scenarios, the Grand Old Party as we knew it is finished.

Leslie Loftus is a once and future American expat, most recently in London. She is also a lawyer and former local political campaign operative turned freelance writer. She currently lives in her hometown of Houston with her husband and their four children. Find her on twitter @AHLondonTX. This article was first published by The Conservative Woman and is reproduced here with permission.


We have a varied menu for your weekend reading. Zac Alstin has conducted a study based on interviews with his three-year-old-son and a 15-year-old beagle, which definitively clarifies the question, Why are humans more important than animals?
Christine Alexander, an emeritus professor of English at the University of New South Wales and an expert on Charlotte Bronte (whose birth 200 years ago is being celebrated this year) answers some questions I sent her about the author of the ever-popular novel, Jane Eyre.
Angela McKay Knobel beautifully explains how Aristotle’s ideas about friendship in a certain way validate the “soulmate” view of marriage.
Darren Middleton, a Presbyterian minister in Australia, makes a very necessary plea for civility in the same-sex marriage debate that country is still having – a mark, I would say, of the health of that country’s democracy compared with others that have already rushed the concept into law.
Mary Cooney suggests how parents can use the summer months to train their kids to do their chores well – and keep the house liveable.
And you, dear reader, are invited to ransack your memory for crime and thriller novels that the rest of us might enjoy during the holidays – or any time. So far we have a couple of dozen suggestions but would like some more. Here’s the page: Whodunnits: readers’ choice of beach books

Carolyn Moynihan
Deputy Editor,

Why are humans more important than animals?
Zac Alstin | FEATURES | 10 June 2016
The value we bestow on other life forms is fundamentally a human trait.
Happy birthday, Charlotte! Celebrating the creator of Jane Eyre
Christine Alexander | FEATURES | 10 June 2016
200 years since the birth of Charlotte Bronte her heroine’s fame is undiminished.
Summer chore boot camp
Mary Cooney | FAMILY EDGE | 10 June 2016
With summer coming, parents can expect to have messier homes.
An argument for free speech and civility
Darren Middleton | CONJUGALITY | 10 June 2016
Australians could soon vote in a plebiscite on gay marriage. Meanwhile, they have another choice to make...
To feel myself beloved on the earth
Angela McKay Knobel | FEATURES | 10 June 2016
Aristotle, true friendship, and the 'Soulmate' view of marriage.
Prepare for another Clinton Presidency
Leslie Loftus | FEATURES | 10 June 2016
Democrat consolidation will enable full, negative media attention on Trump and dissolve his poll lead.
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