Welcome to Demography Is Destiny. We launched this to counter two media memes: that humans are a cancer which is destroying our planet and that world population is spiralling to unsustainable levels. The real story is that intelligent and inventive humans will rise to the challenge of climate change and that our real problem is the coming demographic winter. The editors of Demography is Destiny are Marcus and Shannon Roberts, who live in Auckland, New Zealand. Send them your comments and suggestions. - See more at: http://www.mercatornet.com/demography/view/the-death-of-a-sitting-supreme-court-justice/17608#sthash.ZjKL6Cfl.dpuf
MONDAY, 15 FEBRUARY 2016
Over the weekend Associate Justice of the Supreme Court Antonin Scalia died at the age of 79. At the time of his death Scalia was still a sitting member of the Court. As Stars and Stripes reports, such an event is fairly rare in recent times. The last justice to do so was Chief Justice Rehnquist who died at the age of 81 in 2005. But before him the previous example of a sitting member of the Supreme Court dying in office was Robert Jackson in 1954, when Eisenhower was president. For 50 years between those two judges, not a single sitting Supreme Court Justice died in office. Indeed, since 1900 46 justices have served and of them, 39 left in retirement and only 7 have died in office (according to an analysis by Marquette University’s legal blog in 2012). In contrast, between the USA’s founding and 1900 there were 57 Supreme Court justices and 38 of them died in office. Thus, the proportion of those justices who died in office basically reversed from the 19th to the 20thcentury.
So why is the death of a sitting Supreme Court justice far less common recently then it used to be? First, they, like the rest of the population, are living far longer. Nearly half (17) of the first 38 justices to die in office did so before their 70th birthday and four of them did so before their 60th birthday. Since 1990 there have been six justices to retire and all of them were 70 or older (except Souter, who was 69). Two of the six were in their mid-80s (Marshall was 83 and Blackmun was 85) while Stevens only retired once he reached the age of 90. (In New Zealand all judges must retire at the age of 70 – the belief being that everyone over the age of 70 is senile…)
A more prosaic reason for the lack of 19th century retirements is pension eligibility requirements. For most of the 1800s Supreme Court justices had to be at least 70 years old and to have served on the Court for more than 10 years to be eligible for a retirement pension. Thus there was clearly a sensible reason to hang on to the job as it meant the difference between a pension or not.
Finally, it is worth noting that dying in office is far more common when there is a member of the opposite party in the White House. A study in the journal of Demography analysed the retirement and death of all Supreme Court justices from 1789 to 2006. It found that:
"[P]olitical climate effects on death in office are consistent with the politicized departure hypothesis. When the incumbent president is of a different party than the president who appointed the justice, then the justice's death-in-office odds are about tripled, compared with when the appointing president and the incumbent president are members of the same party."Thus, a Supreme Court justice is three-times more likely to die than retire if the President is from the opposition party to that which appointed him or her. Which makes sense: you are less likely to step down willingly if one of them gets to choose your successor.
One of the best-known figures on the US Supreme Court died on Saturday, Antonin Scalia. Last week I urged readers to be “boldly counter-cultural”. It is hard to think of someone who exemplified this better than Justice Scalia. Below are several articles on the man and his legacy, especially with respect to same-sex marriage.
The focus of most of the news coverage in the media is the political consequences of the vacancy. Professor John Coverdale, who clerked for Scalia before he was elevated to the Supreme Court, remembers “a larger-than-life human being with a great sense of humour and a big heart.” His article is a must-read.
|A larger-than-life human being
John Coverdale | FEATURES | 15 February 2016
The late Justice Scalia was a man with a big heart and a great sense of humour.
|Justice Antonin Scalia, RIP
Sheila Liaugminas | SHEILA REPORTS | 15 February 2016
He will be remembered for a robust legacy.
|Martin Luther King Jr. and the ancient Greeks
Timothy Joseph | FEATURES | 15 February 2016
Socrates and King both lost their lives and saw peaceful agitation as essential to their work.
|The return of the housewife
Ada Slivinski | FEATURES | 15 February 2016
Women are reclaiming the word “housewife” as old-fashioned homemaking comes back into vogue.
|The death of a sitting Supreme Court justice
Marcus Roberts | DEMOGRAPHY IS DESTINY | 15 February 2016
It's actually less common than it used to be...
|China’s urbanisation push
Shannon Roberts | DEMOGRAPHY IS DESTINY | 15 February 2016
A social experiment on a large scale.
|Scalia on same-sex marriage
Michael Cook | CONJUGALITY | 15 February 2016
We've selected a few of Scalia's most memorable lines from his dissents.
|Robotic surgery: paging Dr Carebot?
Denyse O'Leary | CONNECTING | 14 February 2016
At first glance, it sounds impersonal, sterile. But there are pros and cons.
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