jueves, 11 de mayo de 2017

Italy’s ageing and shrinking future | MercatorNet | May 11, 2017 |

Italy’s ageing and shrinking future

| MercatorNet | May 11, 2017 |

Italy’s ageing and shrinking future

The next 50 years will also see the North preponderance grow.
Marcus Roberts | May 11 2017 | comment 

Italy is facing a bleak demographic future. It has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world and even its Health Minister has warned of an impending population “apocalypse”. The latest predictions from the Italian Statistics Agency, Istat, contained in a report entitled “The Demographic Future of the Country” have just been released.
The agency predicts that the current population of just shy of 61 million people will drop by at least seven million in the next 50 years. The actual predictions range from the highest population in 2065 of 61.5 million, to a lowest of 46.1 million. That is, the range over the next 50 years is from very slight increase to a collapse in the country’s population by 25 percent. Furthermore, even the top end is very unlikely: Istat thinks that there is only a seven percent chance that Italy’s population will grow over the next 50 years.
The reason for this predicted population decline in the coming decades is simple. It is that births, although expected to rise somewhat, will continue to be outnumbered by deaths. This is even taking account the projected increased life span of Italians, which is expected to rise by about six years by 2065.
Not only will Italy be getting less populous and older, it will also be getting more North-heavy. Currently, the proportion of the population that live in the south of the peninsula and the islands is 34 percent. By 2065 that is expected to have declined to 29 percent as the southern regions see a steady decrease in their population. Of course, for worried Italian policy makers, there is always large scale immigration as a corrective to native population decline. That will work, surely?
- See more at: https://www.mercatornet.com/demography/view/italys-ageing-and-shrinking-future/19733#sthash.lW9bnE8t.dpuf


May 11, 2017

One of the more disturbing aspects of migration from the Middle East and Africa to Western countries is the underground practice of female genital mutilation. There are several degrees, but none of them is pretty. Last week two doctors in Detroit were arrested because they had “cut” two 7-year-old girls from an ethnic community.
Amazingly, this is the first federal prosecution for a practice which has been banned under US federal law since 1996. Why hasn’t this ever happened before, asks Carolyn Moynihan in today’s lead article. There are said to be half a million girls “at risk” in the US. Are the authorities turning a blind eye to it?

Michael Cook 

Abuse unchecked: why the illegal cutting of girls in the West continues
By Carolyn Moynihan
The US has its first federal prosecution. Britain after 30 years has no convictions.
Read the full article
With firing of FBI director, a new national nightmare could take off
By Luca Trenta
Where is the credible justification for firing Comey?
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Abortion litmus test forces Democrats to choose
By Sheila Liaugminas
Make room for pro-life beliefs in the party, or force them out?
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Italy’s ageing and shrinking future
By Marcus Roberts
The next 50 years will also see the North preponderance grow.
Read the full article
Are there ‘good suicides’ and ‘bad suicides’? Or are all of them bad?
By Margaret Somerville
An elderly Australian couple says that euthanasia is better than life in a nursing home
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West ignores Indonesia’s slide toward Islamic extremism
By Michael Cook
The Christian governor or Jakarta has been jailed for blasphemy against the Qur'an
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When professors stifle freedom of thought
By Denyse O'Leary
In some universities, academics are waging a flat-out war on reality
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The peril in the Pill
By Nicole M. King
How birth control changed everything, but not necessarily for the better.
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The false promise of digital storage for posterity
By Karl D. Stephan
From Aristotle to Hollywood: we can't keep everything forever.
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Captive Maiden: wrong sort of romance
By Theresa Fagan
Another look at a young adult novel
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